The only pattern is that it started with iOS13 and iPadOS … and Apple soon made it hard (even harder than it used to be) to downgrade to iOS12 or earlier. Counterexamples have debunked device-dependent and project-dependent theories, other than it SOMETIMES helping to reduce the number of projects in the sync folder.
If some people have more apps or they’re doing more complex tasks on their devices, that’s impossible for Literature & Latte to track in a rigorous way at a distance.
They haven’t seen the bug occur in front of them, so I find it hard to believe 1/3 of all users are affected, or even close.
After almost 4 months, this thread has less than 400 posts, most of them (a) duplicates from the same user, (b) Literature & Latte posts, and © posts from folks like me, who don’t have the problem. I’m moderator on a Scrivener group of over 12,000 users, and I’ve seen maybe THREE of them mention the problem. Almost no one comments on threads I started on the subject. 12,000 users, and not ONE of them started a thread.
That doesn’t mean it’s not a problem … even if the true number is 1/10,000 … but it makes solving it difficult. Any software engineer will tell you reproducing the problem in a laboratory setting, with professional debugging tools, is KEY to solving tricky problems. Literature & Latte doesn’t have a test case.
If the true numbers are what I suspect they may be, it’s comparable to the odds that a faulty section of the memory chip is key to getting the job done in a loop of MANY calls to the Dropbox API. iOS 13 may have made an unfortunate compromise on performance vs. error-correction.
If that is true, Apple will eventually find it and fix it, but Literature & Latte cannot.